山东省低碳农业发展影响因素的回归分析

Regression Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Low Carbon Agricultural Development in Shandong Province

基于山东省低碳农业发展条件的分析,运用Eview 5.0软件,对农业增加值与主要投入要素进行多元线性回归。研究结果表明,化肥使用量、农业机械总动力、农用柴油使用量等是影响低碳农业发展的重要因素,在此基础上提出加快低碳农业技术研发、推广及应用,转变农业生产方式实施保护性耕作,推动农业碳汇及生态补偿,加强对低碳农业的资金支持等对策建议。

Based on the development condition of low carbon agricultural in Shandong Province, Eview 5.0 soft- ware was used to carry out multi-element linear regression analysis for added value of agricultural and major agricul- tural input dements of Shandong Province,the results indicated that the main influencing factors for low carbon agri- culture development were chemical fertilizer use amount,andtotal agricultural machinery power and agrichhural diesel fuel use amount and so on,based on this,the countermeasures and proposals for accelerating agricultural technology popularization and application,and change the agricultural production toimplement the conservation tillage,and pro- mote agricultural carbon sinks and ecological compensation, as well as strengthening financial support for low carbon agriculture.