城市化与服务业互动发展实证研究——以河北省为例

The Empirical Research on the Interactive Development between Urbanization and Service Industry

采用河北省1994—2009年指标数据,对河北省城市化和服务业的综合评价值实证检验可知:河北省只存在城市化对服务业发展的单项因果关系,服务业虽对城市化水平的提高有正向作用,但效应非常弱。要化解"双重滞后",需要加大力度培育行业增长极、打造区域增长极、构建科学合理的城市规模体系、提高城市的综合承载能力等。

Using the index data of Hebei province in 1994-2009, the empirical test of the comprehensive evaluation value of the urbanization and the services shows that there exists only the individual causality relationship of urbanization on the development of the service industry in Hebei province, and although the service industry has a positive effect on the raise of the urbanization level, but the effect is very weak. To eliminate the ＂double lag＂, it needs to intensify efforts to foster the industry growth pole, create the regional growth pole, construct the scientific and reasonable urban size system and improve the urban comprehensive carrying capacity, etc.