农户经济增长与发展稳定性研究

A Study on Stability of Household Economic Growth and Development

通过大量长期跟踪观察的农户资料对农户经济增长与发展进行了实证分析 ,揭示出农户家庭经济增长与发展的稳定性是有条件的 ,在一定家庭生命周期段农户经济可以持续增长 ,当家庭生命周期运行到一定程度 ,农户经济增长必然出现衰退。

This paper is a positive analysis of household economic growth and development process,the data come from a large amount of long-run fixed observation household.The research result is that the stability of household economic growth and development is limited.The household economy may sustain growth as a pre-stage of life cycle of peasant family ,the household economy may not sustain growth as a post-stage of life cycle of peasant family.