基于Moran’s I指数的旅游产业集聚水平及态势实证研究——以长三角地区为例

An Empirical Analysis on the Agglomeration Level and Agglomeration Situation of Tourism Industry——Taking Yangtze River Delta Zone

文章以长三角为研究案例,利用因子分析、区位熵、全局空间自相关、局部空间自相关方法对长三角区域的整体旅游业集聚水平、各城市的旅游业集聚水平及各城市与临近区域城市的集聚态势进行层层研究,结果表明:(1)长三角区域整体旅游业呈现一定的集聚,但区域内部集聚程度不均衡。(2)长三角城市可以划分为四个集聚态势区,上海、苏州、宁波成为长三角旅游经济集聚增长区,南京、杭州、无锡成为长三角旅游经济集聚极化区,绍兴、常州等城市成为长三角旅游经济集聚过渡区,嘉兴、舟山等城市成为长三角旅游经济集聚低速区。

This paper, taking the Yangtze River Delta, conducts an analysis of the overall tourism agglomeration of the zone, the agglomeration of respective cities in the zone and the agglomeration of each city with its neigh- boring cities using factor analysis,location quotient, global Moran＇I and local Moran＇I. The results are as follow- ing ： （ 1 ） The tourism industry in the Yangtze River Delta Zone shows a considerable level of agglomeration, but agglomeration in different areas is unbalanced; （2） According to local Moran＇I, cities of the Yangtze River Del- ta Zone can divided into four regions of agglomeration： Shanghai, Suzhou, Ningbo being a rising region;Nan- jing, Hangzhou, Wuxi a polarized region;Shaoxing Changzhou a transitional region and Jiaxing, Zhoushan being a low-speed region of agglomeration.