外商直接投资与安徽省经济增长关系的实证研究

Empirical Research on Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Anhui Province

依据协整检验和格兰杰因果检验的相关理论,利用安徽省1991-2010年的经济数据,通过建立GDP随FDI直接增长模型,运用一元回归分析方法,将外商直接投资及其相关指标作为模型的解释量,将经济增长的相关指标作为被解释变量引入到方程中,实证检验了安徽省FDI与GDP之间的关系。结果表明,安徽省FDI与GDP存在双向的格兰杰因果关系,FDI对GDP的增长具有正向推动作用,GDP增长对FDI的增长有促进效应,实现了FDI与GDP的良性循环。

By means of the direct growth model of GDP with FDI, the relationship between FDI and eco- nomic growth in Anhui province was empirical examined by the method of unary linear regression, based on the economic data from 1991 to 2010 in Anhui province and the econometric methods o~ cointe- gration test and Granger causality test. The results show that there exists a two--way Granger causal relationship and positive interaction between FDI and GDP.