基于GM(1,1)模型的深圳未来十年人口预测

The Prediction of the Population of Shenzhen in the Next Ten Years Based on GM(1,1) Model

文章在传统数据分析方法基础上,运用GM(1,1)模型对中国统计年鉴中2000—2010年深圳人口数据进行分析,预测了未来十年深圳的常住人口变化情况。数值实验结果表明灰色理论具有较高的预测精度。

Based on the traditional data analysis, using GM（ 1,1 ） model to the China Statistical Yearbook 2000 - 2010 in the population of Shenzhen, the resident population of Shenzhen in the next ten year is forecast in the paper. The numerical results show that the gray theory model has higher forecast precision.