政治信任、社会资本和善治——全球视野下国家善治集聚现象的探索性空间分析

Political Trust,Social Capital and Good Governance——Exploratory Spatial Analysis of the Good Governance Clustering from the Global Perspective

善治是衡量一国和地区绩效的重要指标。笔者以2002年至2009年间全球53个国家和地区为研究对象,首先对政治信任、社会资本与善治的相关性进行了实证分析,然后对政治信任、社会资本与善治的空间自相关性和空间相关性展开探索性空间分析。本文将善治分布的空间集聚因素纳入到善治分析理论,证实了政治地理学者对空间因素在比较政治研究中的重要性判断。研究发现上述国家和地区的善治空间自相关性逐渐增大且趋向稳定;基期的政治信任、社会资本与邻近国家和地区现期的善治水平具有跨期影响。这一结果强调了协同绩效是缩小区域绩效差异和提高善治水平的重要手段。最后,文章从区域绩效的目标、合作、预警和协同提出政策建议。

Good governance is an important indicator that measures governance level of countries and areas.The research chooses the 53 countries and areas as the research objects.The paper empirically analyzes the correlation among political trust,social capital and good governance,then respectively analyzes the spatial autocorrelation and spatial correlation among political trust, social capital and good governance through the Exploratory spatial analysis.The most important discovery is that benchmark level of political trust,social capital of countries and areas has inter temporal effect on the current level of the variables of adjacent countries and areas.The result stresses that corporate governance is the critical method for decreasing the governance difference. In the end,the paper proposes several policy advices considering the corporate governance.