信息手段对人力资本和农户经济增长的影响研究——以固定电话和电脑网络数据为例的实证分析

Research on the Impaction of Information Means on Developing Human Capital and Rural Economy——Empirical Analysis of Fixed Phone and Computer Internet Data

文章基于固定电话和电脑网络数据,运用单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验和Var脉冲响应函数对1997年-2009年间中国农村统计时间序列数据进行了分析。结果表明:农村信息网络技术的普及对农户经济增长具有长期的拉动效应,信息技术改变了人力资本的积累模式,同时促进了农户经济的增长,并使农户经济增长向广度化和深度化并重的状态转变,信息技术型人力资本概念的提出,有助于解释信息技术与人力资本相结合的理论黑洞。

Based on the data of fixed phones and computer internet, this paper analyzed the time series data of rural China in the period of 1997 to 2009 by unit root tests, co-integration, Granger causality test and Var impulse response function.The results showed that the popularity of information technology in rural areas had a long-term pulling effect on rural economic growth. Information technology had changed the mode of human capital accumulation and promoted economic growth of farmer household.And putting forward the concept of information technology will give a great help to explain the black holes of combination technology with human capital.