外商直接投资对中国外贸结构影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Impact of China’s FDI on the Foreign Trade Structure

采用中国外商直接投资和进出口数据,实证分析外商直接投资与进出口贸易结构的关系。研究发现中国外商直接投资对初级产品进口的增长在长期内有促进作用,在短期内有抑制作用;外商直接投资与初级产品出口、工业制成品进出口之间不存在显著的关系。外资对外贸结构优化有一定作用,但中国外贸结构优化不应过分依赖外资引进。

@@@@Using China’s FDI,import and export data,the article empirically analyzed the relationship between China’s FDI and the foreign trade structure.The study found that China’s FDI promotes imports of primary products in the long term and plays the role of inhibition in the short term;there is no significant relationship either between the FDI and the manufactured goods trade or between the FDI and primary products exports.Foreign investment can optimize the foreign trade structure,but China’s foreign trade structure optimization shouldn’t place undue reliance on foreign capital.