经济结构失衡与经济衰退的多部门动力学模型

A MULTI-SECTOR DYNAMIC MODEL OF ECONOMIC STRUCTURE UNBALANCE AND RECESSIONARY

建立一个由金融部门决定投资结构的分部门模型 ,分析了产业结构失衡的发生 ,以及由于产业结构失衡引发经济衰退的机制 .模型结果表明 :短视的投资结构容易导致产业结构失衡 ,从而造成整体经济的衰退 ;在结构失衡时 ,经济整体承受外来冲击能力下降 ,更容易陷入危机 .

A multi sector dynamic model in which quantity and each sectors share in the investment are decided by finance sector is developed to analyse economic structure unbalancing and economy regression reduced by such an unbalancing. The model shows how a short eye investment can result in economic sturcture unbalancing and then regression in economy. It also points out that the economy will be easier to slump under such structure unbalancing, for the whole economy system is changed to be vulnerable to outside impacts.