贵阳地区中长期电力负荷预测方法研究

Research on the long-term electric load forecasting method in Guiyang

结合贵阳地区2001-2009年的历史负荷数据，分别用模型进行中长期电力负荷预测。结果表明，递归等权组合预测模型比等权平均组合预测模型及单一模型建模精度有所提高，适用于进行中长期负荷预测。

Combining with the load data in 2001 -2009 in Guiyang, the paper adopted models to forecast the long -term electric load. The result showed that recursion combining forecast model was more precise than the mean combination forecast model, which was ap- plicable in long- term load forecast.