尼克松政府对中苏冲突的评估、分析与决策

Nixon Administration's Assessment,Analysis and Decision-making on Sino-Soviet Conflict

1969年中苏珍宝岛冲突后,中苏冲突彻底公开化。对此,尼克松政府进行了周密的调研和分析,认为苏联更有可能是中苏战争的挑起者。在此基础上,尼克松政府预估了中苏之间"可能发生"的战争的规模以及美国的利益所在。围绕如何应对中苏冲突,尼克松政府内部存在着"亲苏派"、"中立派"和"亲中派"的分歧。经过深入的讨论,尼克松政府决定执行"维持当前政策但更多地偏向中国"的策略。这对中美关系正常化起到了促进作用。

The Sino-Soviet conflict came to open after the Zhenbao Island Incident in 1969.The Nixon Administration,on the basis of careful analysis of the Sino-Soviet conflict,concluded that the USSR was more likely the instigator of the war between the Soviet Union and China.On this basis,it predicted the scale of the 'probable war' and where American interest lay.Concerning how to deal with the situation,the Nixon Administration had three factions.After in-depth discussion,the Nixon Administration decided to execute the 'still maintaining the current policy with partiality China' tactic.This tactic promoted the normalization of Sino-US relations.