规模效应、人口素质与新型城镇化的战略考量

Scale Effect, Population Quality and the Strategic Considerations of New Urbanization

未来5～10年,由于有着城镇化释放的巨大内需潜力,我国将仍然具有许多国家难以比拟的突出优势,由此形成重要战略机遇。种种情况表明,传统的以规模扩张为主要特点的城镇化模式难以为继。释放城镇化的最大潜力,必须加快推进人口城镇化的转型与改革。人口城镇化的突破口在于3～5年内基本解决有条件的农民工市民化问题;关键在于加快推进农村土地制度、城乡户籍制度、基本公共服务、财税体制、行政体制、社区管理体制、人口政策等领域的综合配套改革,为有序转移农业人口、提高城镇化质量提供制度保障。

In the next 5 to 10 years, China will still have incomparable advantages because of the release of the huge potential in domestic demand of the urbanization, which is not possessed by other countries. This situation is definitely bound to bring the important strategic opportunity. Anecdotal evidence suggests that traditional urbanization pattern with the characteristics of scale expansion is difficult to sustain. Hence, we must speed up urbanization transformation and reform to release the potential of urbanization to the greatest extent. An important breakthrough of population urbanization is to basically solve the problem of citizenization of rural migrant workers in the following 3 to 5 years. In order to achieve this historic objective, we must accelerate the implementation of rural land system, urban and rural household registry system, basic public service system, financial and tax system, division system Of administrative areas, community management system and some comprehensive supporting reforms in the sphere of population policy for the orderly transfer of agricultural population, and provide system guarantee of the improvement of the quality of urbanization.