2012年黑龙江省大豆市场行情分析及后市展望

Analysis of Soybean Market Situation in 2012 and Its Future Prospect for Heilongjiang Province

在大豆生产方面,受种植效益低、农民种豆积极性低等因素影响,2012年黑龙江省大豆播种面积下降260万hm2,较2011年下降25.5%,同时播种面积的下降导致大豆产量预计为450万t,较2011年下降16.6%。2012年黑龙江省大豆市场价格总体呈现逐步上行走势。新季大豆上市后,农民惜售,企业观望,虽然在国储政策支撑下大豆价格保持4.60元kg左右的高位,但市场持续购销不旺。

Heilongjiang province soybean acreage in 2012 was lowered 2.6 million hectares, down 25.5 percent from the prior year most for affecting by lower benefits and enthusiasm of planting soybean and other relative factors. Heilongjiang province soybean production in 2012 was projected at 4.5 million tons, down 16.6 percent against last year due to the reduction in soybean acreage. Prices for soybean showed a gradual upward trend as a whole in Heilongjiang province in 2012. Heilongjiang province soybean trade was not busy in 2012, although soybean prices remained high around 4.60 RMB per kilogram by supporting of the Stae Reserve policy, mostly because of the different attitudes between farmers and enterprises, the farmers expect the prices for soybean to raise, who are reluctant to sell, in contrast, the enterprises prefer lower prices, who purchase or not base on the situation of soybean market.