贝叶斯推理主观性探析——对无差别原则和不变性的考察

On the Subjectivity of Bayesian Inference through Analysis of the Principle of Indifference and Invariance

作为当代发展最为迅猛的一种科学研究方法——贝叶斯主义方法,尽管已经深入到了科学研究的方方面面,但其先天的"先验"、"主观性"等标签使其陷入了不必要的纷争之中。通过贝叶斯对无差别原则和不变性原理的考察,发现先验概率的无约束即主观性,是贝叶斯主义的一个优点,更重要的是该主观性的产生是由严格的"推理机"——归纳逻辑所定义出的。

The Bayesian Inference,as a contemporary booming scientific has reach into every field of the scientific research. But its properties o subjective have almost got it into some unnecessary trouble. It is found pie of Indifference and Invariance that the Bayesian inference has its su What＇s more,its subjectivity is defined by the strict inference machine research method extended f being transcendental and in the study on the Princi- bjectivity as an advantage. the inductive logic.