中国建筑业对外经济合作与产业增长研究

Study on Relation between Economic Cooperation of Chinese Construction Industry with Foreign Countries or Regions and Its Growth

本文首先分析了中国建筑业对外经济合作的特点,并对中国建筑业对外经济合作与产业增加值自1982-2010年的数据进行协整检验、建立误差修正模型,并进行Granger因果检验,结果表明,建筑业产值的增长是对外经济合作的Granger因,并且具有较强的影响力;而对外经济合作对建筑业产值增长的促进作用并不明显。最后提出了我国建筑业企业在对外经济合作中应加强风险管理,不断提高对外经济合作的增加值,并将对外经济合作作为一个新的经济增长点来培养的建议。

This paper analyzed the characters of economic cooperation with foreign countries or regions （ECFCR） of Chi- nese construction industry at first. Then it examined the Co - integration test, the error correction model and the Granger causality between the growth＇ rates from 1982 to 2010 of the value of economic cooperated with foreign countries or re- gions （VEC） and value -added of Chinese construction industry （CVA）. The results indicated that CVA is the Granger causality of VEC, and the influence is obvious. But the improvement of growth of VEC upon CVA is little. Finally give suggestions that the Chinese construction enterprise should strengthen risk management in foreign economic cooperation and improve the added value of foreign economic cooperation continuously. What＇s more, ECFCR should be a new eco- nomic increase point of Chinese construction industry.