影响农民选择务农或外出打工的因素

Influencing factors of peasants’farming or jobbing

以务农人员和外出打工人员为研究样本,通过构建结构方程总体模型和分组模型,分析个人因素、家庭因素、社会经济因素与农民务农意愿之间的关系及其作用效果,揭示了影响农民决定外出打工或务农的共同因素。指出在外出打工或务农的决策过程中,个人因素的作用大于家庭因素;家庭因素对于务农人群从事农业生产意愿的影响显著;社会经济因素对务农愿望的影响呈负相关;务农样本模型整体拟合度高于外出打工样本模型,模型对于务农人员决定外出打工或务农的影响因素的假设较为成功。

Based on the two groups＇ data and SEM construction, this essay analyzes the factors which influence the peasants＇ decision of whether to be employed in cities or to farm in villages. The results show as follow： Personal factor impacts deeply than family factor in the decision process; Family factor impacts notably to the decision of farming with relation to the farming peasants; Social economic factor has negative impact to the decision of farming. The SEM of farming peasants is better than that of employed peasants, which shows the assumption on factors influencing the decision is successful.