中国人口分布与经济发展空间一致性研究

Multi-scale Studies on the Space Consistency between Population Distribution and Economic Development in China

人口分布与经济发展之间的关系长期以来备受瞩目。本文采用定性与定量分析相结合的方法,通过构建人口经济一致性系数和人口经济偏离度指数等指标,定量分析与评价了改革开放以来中国分县、分省、四大地区及全国,不同时空尺度的人口分布与经济发展的空间一致性。研究表明:2000～2010年,中国分县人口集聚程度高于经济集聚水平,人口集聚呈现出显著的经济导向性,人口集聚与经济集聚表现出向好趋势;2000～2010年,中国分省人口经济一致性程度呈增强趋势,受经济差距缩小影响,省际一致性差距在缩小;1978～2010年,东部地区人口经济一致性程度基本稳定,中部保持最优,西部呈减弱态势,东北呈增强特征,全国人口经济空间一致性程度总体呈减弱趋势。

The relationship between population distribution and economic development has attracted much attention for a long time. Space consistency between population distribution and economic development in China was evaluated in different temporal and spatial scales using qualitative and quantitative analysis methods through constructing and Consistency Deviation Index since the reform the Consistency of Population and Economy Index and opening-up. The results showed that： At the county level, the degree of population agglomeration was higher than that of economy agglomeration 2000- 2010. And, the disparity of space consistency decreased due to the narrowing regional economic disparity. At the regional and national levels, the space consistency in the eastern region was basically stable, the middle region kept the best record, the western region was in decline, while the northeast region showed a slight increasing trend. The national space consistency showed a decreasing trend from 1978 to 2010.