双边技术性贸易措施对我国蔬菜出口贸易的影响分析

Affect of Bilateral Technical Measures to Trade on China’s Vegetable Export Trade

本文基于扩展的贸易引力模型,通过采用2001-2010年我国蔬菜出口的面板数据,从双边技术性贸易措施的角度,实证分析我国蔬菜出口贸易的主要影响因素。实证分析结果表明:国内标准、法规的制定,对外的TBT-SPS通报量对我国蔬菜出口具有显著促进作用;进口国国内标准、法规的制定对我国蔬菜出口具有抑制作用。但进口国的TBT-SPS通报量和关税对我国蔬菜出口贸易的影响不显著。此外,进口国人均GDP、贸易距离对蔬菜出口均有不同层次和方向的显著作用。最后,提出了改善中国蔬菜出口贸易发展状况的对策建议。

Based on the expanded gravity model of trade, making use of pan- el data about China＇s vegetable export from 2001 to 2010, this paper analyzes the effect of bilateral technical measures to trade on China＇s vegetable export trade. The results show that the formulation of standards and regulations, and the TBT-SPS notification in our country promote the vegetable export significantly. The formulation of standards and regulations in importing countries hinder China＇ s vegetable export. However, tariff level and the TBT-SPS notifications of import countries have no effect on China＇s vegetables export trade. Furthermore, GDP per capital and geographical distance have effects on China＇s vegetables export trade. At last, we propose some advice to improve the status of China＇s vegeta- bles export trade.