辽宁省产业结构演变的环境效应分析

ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECT OF LIAONING'S INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE EVOLUTION

产业结构作为各类经济活动和生态环境的重要连接体,不同的产业结构对经济增长的促进作用和对生态环境质量的影响力各不相同。在环境约束日益加大的今天,研究产业结构演变的环境效应,对于促进产业结构转型有重要的现实意义。首先,从演变的视角对辽宁省三次产业结构和环境质量的变化特征进行分析;然后通过典型相关分析方法分析了辽宁省1985—2010年产业结构演变的环境效应,认为辽宁省产业结构演变的环境效应显著;最后,采用时间序列方法,对产业结构和环境质量之间进行协整检验,不但进一步证明了典型相关性得出的结论,还证明了产业结构与环境质量之间的关系是长期稳定的,产业结构的演变对环境质量的影响是长期存在的。

Industrial structure as a vital link to all economic activities and eco-environment has a variable influence on economic growth and eco-environmental quality. It is of significance to study environmental effect of industrial structure evolution for promoting industrial structure transformation under a growing environmental constraint. This paper analyzes Liaoning＇s three times of industrial structure and environmental quality changes, and studies the environmental effect of Liaoning＇s industrial structure evolution from 1985 to 2010 by means of typical relevant method, and concludes that the effect is remarkable. By using time series method, this paper makes a cointegration check on industrial structure and environmental quality, which not only is consistent with the conclusion from typical relativity, but also validates a long-term relation between industrial structure and environmental quality, meaning a long-term influence of industrial structure on environmental quality.