劳动力成本、经济结构与经济增长——基于江西省的实证分析

Labor Costs,Economic Structure and Economic Growth——An Empirical Research on Jiangxi Province

劳动力成本上升对地区经济发展的影响已成为社会各界关注的焦点,笔者基于Stockhammer-Ederer模型的计量分析结果发现,虽然江西省劳动力成本上升对投资产生负效应,但对居民消费却具有显著的正效应,其对总产出及经济增长率都具有显著的促进作用,且劳动力成本上升对内需拉动效应呈U型变动趋势。因此,政府应积极应对劳动力成本上升给经济发展带来机遇与挑战,调整经济结构,促进经济增长方式转变。

The paper researches the impact of labor cost rising on local economic growth by the Stockhammer-Ederer model econometric analysis.It is found that labor cost rising has a negative effect on investment and a significant positive effect on resident consumption,which will significantly push the total output and economic growth in Jiangxi Province.The pulling effect of labor cost rising on domestic demand shows ＂U＂ type change trend.Therefore,the Government should take positive measures to the opportunities and challenges of rising labor costs on economic development adjust economic structure and transform economic growth patterns.