基于灰靶理论的智能雷毁伤效能评估

Damage Effectiveness Evaluation for Intelligent Mine Based on Grey System Theory

针对智能雷毁伤效能评估中存在涉及影响因素多、因素之间有不明确灰色关系和数据不足的问题,以灰色理论中的灰靶技术为基础,用最能反映智能雷毁伤效能的性能指标构造不同智能雷比较方案的模式;通过求解智能雷各方案对标准模式的靶心度,完成了智能雷武器系统攻击坦克目标的毁伤效能评估,确定了各比较方案毁伤效能的优劣。结果表明:采用灰靶理论获得的各方案毁伤效能排序与采用蒙特卡洛法仿真获得的各方案毁伤概率排序完全一致,说明采用灰靶理论评估毁伤效能具有一定的有效性和实用性,可以为智能雷武器系统总体设计和智能雷武器系统方案优选提供一种新方法。

Aiming at the problem such as many influencing factor,ambiguous relation among factors and data deficiency on the damage effectiveness evaluating for intelligent mine,by the gray target technology of gray theory,the patterns of alternative schemes are formed with the technical performance indices which reflect the effectiveness best of damage effectiveness for intelligent mine.Damage effectiveness evaluation for intelligent mine attacking to tank is accomplished by solving the approaching degree of patterns for their standard ones and making the queue of approaching degrees in the light of their values,and the good or bad effectiveness of intelligent mine weapon systems evaluated can be distinguished.As a result,the compositors of damage effectiveness for the different scheme are coincident by the gray target and Monte-Carlo simulation.It shows that effective and applied evaluating damage effectiveness the grey target theory,and offered a new method on the whole design and the optimal scheme choice of intelligent mine weapon systems.