闽台农产品贸易流量和潜力分析

Analysis of Fujian and Taiwan Agricultural Product Trade Flows and Potential

内容以贸易引力模型为基础,结合实际情况加入解释变量建立模型,定量分析闽台农产品贸易状况。通过对模型的实证检验,得出影响闽台农产品贸易流量的主要因素有GDP总量、人均GDP、FDI,在此基础上预测了两地农产品贸易潜力,得出闽台目前存在"贸易不足",双方存在较大贸易潜力的结论,并提出相关建议。

Based on traditional gravity model and combining with the actual conditions of the Fujian and Taiwan.this paper establishes the model to analyze agriculture products trade between the Fujian and Taiwan.Through empirical test,the results indicate that main factors that have influence to bilateral trade flow are GDP,the per capita GDP,foreign direct investment.The paper also predicts the trade potentiality,and draws the conclusion the their agriculture products trade display inadequate potential and there are huge potentiality of development,the paper proposes some relevant policy suggestions.