退耕还林工程对农村居民消费结构的影响——基于1921个样本农户数据和ELES模型

Effect of the Project of Conversion from Copland to Forest on Rural Households' Consumption Structure: Based on the Households' Data of 1 921and ELES Approach

利用6省区1921个样本农户1995—2008年的跟踪数据,将持久收入假说理论引入扩展的线性支出系统(ELES)中,分析退耕还林工程对我国农村居民消费结构的影响。结果表明:在非京津风沙源治理区,退耕还林工程可显著增加样本农户的非基本性需求消费;在京津风沙源治理区,退耕还林工程则显著增加样本农户的基本性需求消费。

This paper uses the panel dataset of 1 921 rural households in 6 provinces from 1995 to 2008 and permanent income hypothesis to extended linear expenditure system is used to analyzes the effects of the project of conversion from cropland to forest on rural households’ consumption structure. The empirical results indicate that the impact of project of conversion from cropland to forest in non-desertification combating program area around Beijing and Tianjin sample rural households＇ non-basic demand consumption is positive, while the impacts of project of conversion from cropland to forest in the desertification combating program around Beijing and Tianjin on their basic demand consumption is positive.