基于面板数据的陕西省低碳经济区域差异分析

The Regional Difference Analysis of Low Carbon Economy Based on the Panel Data in Shaanxi Province

通过测算陕西省1995～2010年间的碳排放量,同时利用陕西省"十一五"期间11个地级市社会经济各方面数据,对陕西省各市低碳经济水平进行聚类分析,探讨其与经济增长的相互关系,将各市聚类为高碳区、相对高碳区和低碳区,近而分析陕西省各市低碳经济发展水平的空间差异特征。结果表明,1995～2010年间,陕西省碳排放量总体呈快速增长趋势,20年间翻了近4番;高碳区和相对高碳区碳排放量大于低碳区,高碳区的碳排放量增速最大;分析陕西省低碳经济发展存在差异的原因,并为陕西省各市未来低碳经济发展提出政策建议。

Through estimating the carbon emission in Shaanxi Province from 1995 to 2010,and by using social economic data of 11 prefecture level cities in Shaanxi Province from 2005 to 2009,cluster analysis was conducted on low carbon economic level and the interaction between low carbon economic level and economy growth was discussed.These cities were divided into high-carbon area,relative high-carbon area and low-carbon area,the spatial difference characteristics of low carbon economic level were analyzed.The results showed that the overall carbon emissions grow rapidly,which rise four-fold from 1995 to 2010 in Shaanxi Province;The amount of carbon emissions in the low-carbon area is the smallest,while the carbon emissions growth speed in the high-carbon area is fastest;The causes for different areas have different low carbon economic level were analyzed,and policy and suggestions for low carbon economy development in Shaanxi Province were put forward.