摘要
利用合肥市2005—2010年的生态数据进行计算、比较、分析与综合研究,结果表明,合肥市具有典型的农业社会特征,产业结构较稳定。近年来,随着合肥市经济发展速度的不断提高,人民生活水平也不断提升,但生态系统处于超负荷状态,可持续发展压力越来越大。利用变化速率、剪刀差等多种分析法在时间尺度上预测了合肥市生态足迹和生态承载力的动态发展趋势,建立了动态模型,全面反映了合肥市在过去、现在和未来的可持续发展状况。
This study was aimed to discuss the per capita ecological footprint, ecological carrying, change rate, scissors difference and ecological pressure for Hefei during 2005-2010. The result showed that Hefei was the typical agricultural society, which had a more stable industry structure. In recent years, the higher the speed of economic development, the higher the level of people＇ s living in Hefei, but the eco - system of Hefei was in over- load status. Pressure of sustainable development also grew in Hefei. At the same time, this study established a dynamic model of the per capita ecologi-cal footprint and ecological capacity, which fully reflected the Hefei ecological footprint and ecological capacity, indicated sustainable development in the past, present, and future trends.
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
CSSCI
2013年第4期363-367,共5页
Resource Development & Market
基金
安徽省优秀青年人才基金项目(编号:2011SQRW188)
安徽省自然科学研究项目(编号:KJ 2012B029)
关键词
生态承载力
生态足迹
变化速率
剪刀差
动态模型
ecological carrying
ecological footprint
change rate
scissors difference
dynamic model
