情报分析失误中的心理认知机理探究

On the Psychological Cognitive Mechanism in the Intelligence Analysis Failure

目前，关于情报失误方面的研究已经很多，其中一个重要的观点就是，情报失误可出现在情报工作的各个环节，但主要出现在情报分析环节上。从情报分析人员的心理认知层面入手，分析了情报分析失误的认知根源，提出了避免分析失误的认知策略。

Now much research has been done on the intelligence failure, one key point is that the intelligence failure appears in every link of the intelligence work, especally in the process of intelligence analysis. This article, emphati-cally from the psychological cognitive level of the intelligence analysts, analyzes the cognitive root - causes, puts for-ward cognitive strategies to avoid the intelligence failure, in hopes of providing guidance and reference to the intelli-gence analysis.