摘要
对项目进度绩效预测方法进行比较分析。首先描述六种项目状态下项目进度预测问题,系统阐述计划价值率法、挣得工期法和挣得进度法的进度预测方法。结合某工程建设项目案例,对三种方法的进度预测结果进行分析:在项目早、中期,三种方法预测结果差异不明显,但在项目接近收尾阶段,挣得进度法更能准确反映项目未来的进度状态。
This paper aims to make a comparative analysis of different methods for project schedule performance prediction. Firstly, the schedule performance prediction problem in the six statues is described. The plan valued rate method, earned duration method and the earned schedule method are then introduced. At the end of this paper, an engineering construction project is used to make compare. The result shows that three methods made no differ- ences result before middle stage. But the earned schedule method progressed more accurately future forecast in the end of the project.
出处
《建筑经济》
北大核心
2013年第4期19-22,共4页
Construction Economy
基金
863高技术研究和发展计划资助项目(KX07301)
关键词
预测
挣得技术
计划价值率
挣得工期
挣得进度
prediction
earned value method
plan value rate
earned duration
earned schedule
