广东省农村金融发展与农村经济增长关系的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Rlationship of the Rural Financial Development and Rural Economic Growth in Guangdong Province

我国大部分农村地区目前都存在"金融抑制"现象,农村经济发展受到严重制约。本文以农村金融与经济增长相关理论,运用计量经济方法对1992-2010年广东省农村金融发展与农村经济增长关系进行了实证分析,结果表明,广东省农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,广东省农村经济增长是农村金融发展的格兰杰原因。广东农村地区金融发展不如经济发展,金融资源配置低下,在某种程度上阻碍了广东省的经济发展。为了促进农村经济稳定、持续、快速地发展,必须加快农村金融体制的改革,构建一个多元化、高效的农村金融体系。

There are ＂financial repression＂ phenomena at present in most of the rural areas in China and rural economic development is severely restricted.In this paper,depending on the relevant theories of rural finance and economic growth,the use of econometric methods,the empirical analysis is carried out about rural development and rural economic growth in Guangdong Province in the 1992-2010 year.The stationary test,co-integration test and Granger causality test measurement results show that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between rural financial development and economic growth in rural areas of Guangdong.Its rural economic growth is the development of rural financial Granger reason,which gives the relevant recommendations.In order to promote rural economic stability and sustained rapid development and accelerate the reform of rural financial system should be,a diversified and efficient rural financial system should be built.