台湾地区强地震序列的GM模型

The GM model of strong earthquake sequence in Taiwan Region

对台湾地区M≥ 7 0级强地震序列进行了灰色系统GM模型的建模。从模型检验精度和结果看 ,模型的关联度R、后验差比值C和小误差概率P等有关指标都说明所建模型是可靠而精确的 。

The Grey system GM model for strong earthquake (M≥7 0) sequence in Taiwan Region have been found in this paper. From the tested accuracy and the results calculated by the model, some relative indexes of the GM model such as the association degree R, posterior error C and microerror probability P and so onshow that this model is reliable and accurate, and it has certain practical value to the prediction of strong earthquake sequence in Taiwan Region.