试析奥巴马第二任期中东政策走向

Evaluating Obama's Middleast Policy and Its Future

将战略重心转向亚太、力图从中东脱身,是奥巴马第一任期中东政策的核心思想。基于美国对于中东地区在其全球战略利益中地位的考量,预计奥巴马在第二任期仍将大体延续前一任期的中东政策:坚持战略重心东移,继续在中东保持战略收缩姿态,力图从中东脱身;继续支持中东地区民主变革,并确保地区民主过渡的平稳实现;重新确立美国在新中东的地位。与此同时,美国战略东移亦会受到叙利亚危机、伊朗核问题等日益严峻的中东热点的挑战,加大对中东的关注势所难免。

Pivot to Asia -Pacific region and retreat from the Middle East, is the core idea of President Obama＇ s Middle East policy during the first term. Based on U. S. global strategic interests and the new position of the Middle East, the Obama Administration would maintain continuity of its middle East policy during his second term ： Adhere to Pivoting to the East , continuing to keep strategic shrink in the mid- dle East; supporting Arab democratic reform and stable transition; Re -establishing the status of the United States in the New Middle East. At the same time, the strategy of pivot to Asia would be greatly challenged by the increasing austere Middle East situation such as Syria Crisis and Iran Nuclear Issue, and President Obama would likely have to pay more concerns to this region.