市场化、城镇化与城乡收入差距——基于空间动态面板模型的实证分析

Marketization,Urbanization and Urban-rural Income Gap——Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Dynamic Panel Model

采用1997-2007年我国城乡收入差距的省际面板数据,通过构建空间动态模型,采用SCBB估计方法,分析了市场化和城镇化进程对城乡收入差距的影响效应.实证结果表明,现阶段城镇化、市场化有利于缩小城乡收入差距,对缩小城乡收入差距的作用明显.研究结论认为市场化、城镇化对缩小城乡收入差距有积极意义,相邻省份城乡收入差距在空间关系作用下有趋同发展之势.在实证研究基础上本文对十八大以来政府主导城镇化进程提出方向性政策建议.

Based on the provincial panel data in 1997--2007, and by building the space dynamic model and utilizing the SCBB estimation method, this paper analyzed how China＇s marketization and urbanization processes affected the income gap between the urban and rural. The empirical results show that, in the current stage, urbanization and marketization is helpful to reduce the income gap between the areas urban and rural areas; that urbanization has an obvious effect on narrowing the income gap; and that market is also conducive to narrow the income gap. Spatial correlation reveals that the income gap between the urban and rural of adjacent provinces shows convergent trend.