中日服务贸易的本地市场效应估计

Measuring the Home Market Effects of Sino-Japanese Service Trade

文章在Schumacher(2003)构建的引力模型基础上推导出计量模型,实证研究了中日服务贸易的本地市场效应,发现本地市场效应促进了中国对日本的服务出口,以劳动力要素禀赋为传统的比较优势也促进了中国对日本的服务出口,但本地市场效应对中国对日本服务出口的促进作用大于传统比较优势。中国对日本的10个服务行业中有6个行业存在显著的本地市场效应,1个行业的本地市场效应不显著,3个行业不存在本地市场效应,具体是运输服务、旅游服务、通讯服务、保险服务、计算机和信息服务、版权及许可费存在显著的本地市场效应,其他商业服务本地市场效应不显著,建筑服务、金融服务、个人、文化和娱乐服务不存在本地市场效应。

This article deduces the econometric model based on Gravity Model which the Schumacher constructed, and empirical study the home market effect between Sino - Japanese service trade, the article finds that the home market effect has promoted service exports for China to Japan, the traditional comparative advantage with labour force factor endowment has also promoted service exports for China to Japan, but the promoting effect of the home market effect is larger than the promoting effect of the traditional comparative. The article finds that the 6 industries in 10 service industries have significant home market effects, the home market effect of 1 industry is not significant, 3 industries do not exist the home market effect, transport services, tourism services, communications services, insurance services, computer and information services, royalties and license fees have significant home market effect, the home market effect of other business services is not significant, construction services, financial services, personal, cultural and recreational services do not exist the home market effect.