摄政王载沣罢免袁世凯事件新论

A New Look at Prince-Regent Zai Fengs Dismissal of Yuan Shikai

戊戌政变期间袁世凯告密出卖光绪帝,载沣对袁衔恨已久,加上他对袁权势之盛心存疑忌,袁世凯被罢实属必然。而罢袁事件前夕,袁争夺财政权和竭力主张中美互派大使的行为,以及言官弹劾袁权高震主的奏折,促使载沣作出罢袁决定。载沣拟议将袁世凯处死或审讯治罪的说法不合情理。联美制日外交政策失败导致袁下台的观点有悖史实。日本政府乐于见到袁世凯被罢,但并未参与罢袁阴谋。

Zai Fengs dismissal of Yuan Shikai was inevitable , as he had long resented Yuans betrayal of the Guangxu Emperor at the time of the Hundred DaysReform of 1898and was in addition suspicious of Yuans over whelming power and influence.Before his dismissal , Yuan had tried to seize financial power and had strongly advocated that China and the US exchange ambassadors. Taken together with memorials from the official supervisors accusing Yuan of having so much power that he threatened the throne , these factors led to Zai Fengs decision to dismiss him.The idea that Zai Feng wanted to put Yuan to death or try him makes no sense , and the view that Yuan fell because of the failure of his policy of alliance with the US against Japan is contrary to the historical facts.Although the Japanese government was happy to see Yuan dismissed , it was not engaged in any conspiracy to bring him down.