新能源和常规能源对经济增长贡献的比较分析——兼论战略性新兴产业的发展

Analysis of Strategic Emerging Industries and Economic Growth

在全球经济衰退凸显的形势下,战略性新兴产业成为了各国用来抑制颓势,进行经济结构调整和产业战略转型的主要手段。本文通过基于能源产业建立新能源和常规能源对经济增长贡献率的计算公式,计算以新能源为代表的战略性新兴产业和以常规能源为代表的普通产业的贡献率。通过对比分析发现整体上以新能源为代表的战略性新兴产业对经济增长的贡献要低于以常规能源为代表的普通产业,但是战略性新兴产业对经济增长贡献的增长速度要远远大于常规产业,可以预计未来我国的经济增长主要依靠战略性新兴产业的贡献。文章认为目前战略性新兴产业贡献率比较低的原因主要是由于战略性新兴产业技术还处于未成熟阶段、缺乏核心技术、产业政策配套不足和技术转化率低等原因。因此,本文认为在政府政策上面应当加大研发投入、完善财税政策、增加战略性新兴产业内需和加强产学研合作。

During the global economic recession, strategic emerging industries have become the primary means of inhibiting decline, transforming economic structural adjustment and industrial strategy. This has been a goal for China, but have strategic emerging industries really contributed to China＇s economic growth？ Here, we establish a formula of new energy and conventional energy based on the energy industry, and calculate their contribution rates. We found that contribution of the new energy to overall strategic emerging industry economic growth is lower than the ordinary, conventional energy industry, but the growth rate of strategic emerging industries to economic growth is larger than conventional industrial. In order to increase the contribution rate of the emerging strategic industries and maintain growth, innovation in China＇s strategic emerging industries should be based on independent innovation, strengthening the research and development capabilities, and basic research. Regarding tax policy, policies should guide the consumer;encourage the development of new formats for specific characteristics;develop turnover tax, income tax, consumption tax, and business tax that form inclusive incentive policy instruments of social resources to the development of strategic emerging industries;and increase domestic demand. The nation should also be supporting the production and research for major innovation projects;improving the organization and management mechanisms of production and research with the National Science and Technology Plan;establishing the public information platform for production and research cooperation;and strengthening the production and research cooperation and the development of strategic emerging industries.