新经济困局、新失业问题与新对策研究

On the New Economic Difficult Position, New Unemployment and New Countermeasures

当前中国面临的经济困局是全局性、长期性世界经济危机的一部分,是全球化与新自由主义面临深刻调整的产物,因此,中国不可能像以前一样继续依赖于发达国家进口的增长摆脱困局,而严重的产能过剩与滞涨现实也决定了扩张性财政政策的不可行,只能采取供给学派对策与再分配政策扩大内需。在当前的经济危机中,处境最窘迫的是新一代农民工,他们既享受不到社会保障,又不愿意回归农村,鉴于他们庞大的规模,继续延续旧式解决方案可能引起他们激烈的反应,只有顺应潮流,积极鼓励私营经济的发展,建立起平等的覆盖全民的社会保障体系,进一步缩小社会贫富差距,进行根本性的土地制度改革,让农民顺利融入城市,才能有效化解新经济困局和新失业问题。

At present, the economic difficult position faced by China is a part of the overall and long - term global economic cri- sis. We ca not get rid of the dilemma depending on import increase of the advanced countries like we used be. Serious excess pro- duction capacity and stagflation decides that expansionary financial policy is infeasible. In order to expand domestic demand, we can only apply the countermeasures of the supply - side economics and the policy of redistribution. The most difficult group is the new generation of migrant worker without social security. Therefore, we should set up equal social security system covering all peo- ple, narrow the social gap between the rich and the poor, reform the land system and let migrant workers integrating into urban life, so as to resolve the new economic difficult position and new unemployment.