曹妃甸新区交通需求预测模型的思考

Thinking Deeply about Caofeidian New Area Traffic Demand Forecast Model

对于没有基础的交通量和经济社会发展状况等方面数据的未开发区域以及没有系统科学的交通量调查数据的曾经偏远落后的地区,很难用经典的交通需求预测模型来预测其远景年的交通量,可以考虑采用土地利用回归模型对该地区进行交通需求预测。

It is more difficult to use the classical traffic demand forecast model to forecast the long-term traffic volumes of the undeveloped areas without the basic traffic volume and the economical social development data,and the remote and backward areas without the systematical scientific investigation data of traffic volume.It can be considered to use the land use regression model to forecast the traffic demand of this area.