美国在钓鱼岛问题上的策略及中国的应对

US Policy towards the Diaoyu Islands and China′s Countermeasures

中日钓鱼岛争端实质上既是日本主动战略挑衅的结果,同时也是中美之间战略竞争的体现。在中美日三方的战略博弈当中,最大的不确定因素是美国在钓鱼岛问题上是否会干预以及干预的样式及程度。从根本上看,美国干预的决心及程度取决于其在钓鱼岛海域自身利益需求与战略能力的平衡。美国以中日争端为抓手加速重返亚太,但因长期反恐战争引发的国力下降和国内财政危机,使得其在钓鱼岛主权归属问题上采取一种模糊政策。此举尽显美国战略上虚虚实实的做法,对此我们要清醒认识并加以积极应对。

The dispute between China and Japan on Diaoyu Islands is not only the result of Japan＇ s provocation and China＇ s reaction but also part of strategic competition between the United States and China. In the great triangle of contest, the biggest uncertainty is whether and how the United States would intervene in the crisis. Fundamentally, the US determination and extent to intervene in the crisis depend on the balance of the US interests involved and military-strategic capabilities in the area of the Diaoyu Islands. As a matter of fact, the United States has taken the crisis as a handle to quicken its pace of pivoting to Asia, and this is confined to an ambiguity policy toward the sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands due to its relative decline of national strength and domestic financial problems. The US policy of ambiguity shows its tactics of mixing truth with deceit over the Diaoyu Islands crisis, which we should be fully wary about and take oroper countermeasures against.