中国经济发展与社会发展结构分析——基于中国287个地级以上市的实证研究

A Study of the Relationship between China s Economic Development and Social Development: Based on Empirical Study of 287 Prefecture Level Cities in China

基于2010年中国287个地级以上市的经济社会统计数据建立结构方程模型,揭示中国经济社会发展结构可由7个主要方程来反映。依对中国经济社会发展结构影响力大小,经济效益、产业结构、社会结构是原因度最大的三个因子。经济效益(由财政收入与社会劳动生产率量度)因子对中国经济社会发展结构的影响,解释了政府投资是过去推动中国经济社会发展的主要动力;效率低下的第一产业是中国社会结构(第三产业就业比例、非农业人口就业比例、医疗占财政支出比例)提升的最大制约;社会结构关系社会稳定与人口素质提高。

Based on economic and social statistical data of China＇s 287 prefecture-level cities in 2010, the structural equation model is established, revealing that the structure of China＇s economic and social development is reflected by the seven main equations. According to the size of their influences on China＇s economic and social development, economic benefits, industrial structure and social structure are the largest three factors. The influence of economic benefits （ measured by financial income and social labor productivity） indicates that the government investment was the main driving force of China＇s economic and social development in the past; inefficient primary industry （agriculture, rural areas and farmers） is the greatest constraint of enhancing China＇s social structure （tertiary industry employment proportion, non-agricultural population employment proportion and medical expenditure ratio in financial expenditure） ; social structure concerns social stability and population quality improvement.