摘要
定性分析房地产价格、房地产开发投资、通货膨胀三者之间的相互关系：选用山西省2006～2011年的季度数据，通过平稳性检验、Granger因果检验和VAR模型进行实证分析。，结果表明，房价与通货膨胀均较大程度影响房地产开发投资额：通货膨胀比房地产开发投资对房价的影响大：房价比房地产开发投资对通货膨胀的影响大。
Qualitatively analyzes the relationships of price of real estate, real estate development investment and the in- flation, and, through the stationary test, Granger causality test and the VAR model, makes an empirical analysis on the quarterly data from 2006 to 20l 1 in Shanxi province. The results show that, both real estate price and inflation are large- ly affect the real estate development investment; the inflation has more impact on real estate price than real estate devel- opment investment; real estate price has more impact on the inflation than real estate development investment.
出处
《建筑经济》
北大核心
2013年第5期74-77,共4页
Construction Economy
基金
山西省软科学研究计划(2011041010-03)
山西省住房和城乡建设厅基金
山西省城乡住房调查报告课题(SXZD2013-01)
关键词
房价
房地产开发投资
通货膨胀
VAR模型
real estate price
real estate development investment
the inflation
VAR model
