工资率、“生育陷阱”与不可观测类型被引量：59

Wage Rate,the Mommy Trap and Unobserved Types

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摘要中国目前存在严重的低生育率、性别比失调、老龄化等人口结构性问题,但是,目前的生育政策,还只是"生育供给"政策。一个完整的生育政策,也应该包括"生育需求"政策,这篇文章就是通过生育对女性收入的影响来研究家庭的生育需求。本文通过非线性转换和混合密度估计方法估计了不同类型的女性生育陷阱的不同影响程度,我们发现,生育对女性的工资收入在生育当年有显著的高达18%的负面影响,对外生类型的女性这一影响尤为显著,这会显然影响这部分女性的生育需求。 There are serious population structure problems in China like pretty low fertility rate, unbalanced sex ratio and aging. But the current fertility policy is only aimed at supply control, ignoring demand side of fertility. This paper studies fertility demand of household by examining effect of childrearing on female wage rate. We estimate different effects of different types of mothers using nonlinear transformation and mixture density model. We find that childrearing has 18% significantly negative effect on mothers＇ wage rate in the year when women just give a birth. Exogenous type mothers has larger such effect, which would obviously affect fertility demand of female.

作者贾男甘犁张劼

机构地区西南财经大学经济学院西南财经大学美国德克萨斯A&M大学

出处《经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第5期61-72,共12页 Economic Research Journal

关键词工资率生育陷阱不可观测类型混合密度估计 Wage Rate Mommy Trap Unobserved Types Mixture Density Estimation

分类号 C924.2 [社会学—人口学] F249.24 [经济管理—劳动经济]

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