基于系统动力学的新兴技术产业化策略研究被引量：13

The strategy of emerging technology industrialization based on system dynamics

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摘要新兴技术产业化对推动社会经济发展具有重要作用,本文在两个维度上将新兴技术产业分为四类,并在系统的视角下对以混合动力汽车为代表的第IV类新兴技术产业化进行了研究。通过建立和分析混合动力汽车产业化的系统动力学模型,提出了中国混合动力汽车产业化发展的策略体系。本文的研究表明,通过系统建模对新兴技术产业化进行研究,是进行该领域研究的一种可行思路和方式。 The industrialization of emerging technologies plays an important role in the promotion of social and economic develop-ment. Emerging technology industries are classified into two dimensions, four categories; and the Hybrid Electric Vehicle （HEV） industry which represents category IV emerging technologies is studied from a system dynamics perspective. Through modeling and analysis on the HEV industry, a development strategy system for China＇ s HEV industry is proposed. The case study shows that system modeling is a viable approach for emerging technology research.

作者任海英程善宝黄鲁成

机构地区北京工业大学经济与管理学院

出处《科研管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2013年第5期21-31,共11页 Science Research Management

基金国家自然科学基金重点项目"奥运科技产业化及基于奥运市场规则的国际化发展研究"(70639002) 2006.6-2010.7 国家社会科学基金重大项目"新兴技术未来分析理论方法及产业创新研究"(11&ZD140) 2011.10-2015.12

关键词系统动力学新兴技术产业化混合动力汽车 system dynamics emerging technology industrialization HEV

分类号 N949 [自然科学总论—系统科学]

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