我国加油站行业的国际比较及发展前景分析

International Comparison and Development Prospect Analysis for China's Gas Station Industry

选取北美、欧洲和亚洲的11个世界主要国家为样本,以汽车保有量、公路网密度、加油站数量、燃油零售量等数据为基础与我国的相关情况进行了比较,简要介绍了部分发达国家加油站行业的发展历程和影响因素。据此对2020年我国加油站的数量进行了三种不同情景的数据模拟预测,并对加油站行业的发展前景做出了分析。认为:加油站向服务站转化是大势所趋,非油品业务将引导加油站行业的发展;市场和油价的放开决定加油站行业发展的进程;国家的政策导向(如定价机制、环保法规)会对加油站行业发展产生决定性的影响。

Selecting 11 mayor countries in the world fromNorth America, Europe and Asia as samples, the car population, the density of road network, the gas station quantity, and the amount of retail fuel are comparedwith China, the development course ofgas station industry in some developed countries and the influencing factors are introduced. Accordinglythe quantities of gas stations in China by 2020 are simulated and forecasted fromthe data based on three different scenarios,and the development prospect of gas station industry is analyzed. It is concluded that transforming gas station to service station is the trend in which non-oil business will lead the development of gas station industry;opening market and oil price will determine the developing process of gas station industry; the country.spolicy orientation (such as pricing mechanism, environmental regulations) will impact decisively the development of gas station industry.