基于层次分析法的影响利益主体国际气候谈判立场的主要因素研究

The Main Influencing Factors of Stakeholder's Position in International Climate Game based on AHP

减缓气候变化是一个现实决策问题,国际气候博弈就是针对这一问题而产生的关于气候政策问题的全球范围内的决策过程。本研究采用层次分析方法,量化分析复杂决策问题中各决策主体间错综复杂的利益关系及在这种利益驱动下的决策过程,重点分析确定德班气候变化会议以来欧盟、美国、中国的气候变化谈判立场的主要影响因素,有利于决策者掌握决策的整体情况。

Mitigation of climate change is a real decision-making problem, while the international climate game is a decision-making process worldwide about climate policy. This study, using AHP method, quantitatively analyses the complex interests relationship a- mong the decision-making bodies, and the decision-making process driven by the interests. It focuses on determining the main factors in climate change of the European Union, the United States, and China＇s position since the Durban Climate Change Conference. It is con- ducive for policy-maker to grasp the overall situation.