京沪高铁对航空客运分担率影响的研究

Impact of Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway on aviation passenger transport rate

文章通过问卷调查,构建Logit模型,分析了不同年龄段、不同收入人群在休闲旅行和商务出行两种出行目的下选取交通工具的差异,并预测了当前水平下,各种交通工具的运输分担率。模型的结果对政府部门合理制定交通运输政策有一定的实际意义和参考价值;也为航空公司针对不同人群制定相应的价格和服务策略,以更好地应对高铁带来的挑战,提供了一定的依据。

Logit model is constructed to analyze the difference between people of different age and income for their recreation and business travel through SP survey, and the transport rates are predicted. The result can contribute to traffic planning and policy-making or provide reference for implementing and adjusting operation strategy.