基于CBR+RBR的快速应急预案生成方法

Emergency Plan Generating Method Based on CBR and RBR

针对现存应急预案大都是文本形式预案,用于处理突发事件时指导性不强、指导作用不明显,提出基于案例推理(case based reasoning,CBR)与基于规则推理(rule based reasoning,RBR)相结合的方法。采用RBR方法,推理得出需要的应急预案,运用CBR方法,使用最近邻匹配方法从案例库中查找符合给定相似度的案例,并将2种方法相结合。结果表明:该方法能克服单独使用CBR时面临的无规则预案生成陷入困境及单独使用RBR时预案生成延时及规则建立难度大的瓶颈,兼容RBR极强的推理演绎能力和CBR建立与维护系统容易的优势,使生成应急预案更加高效可靠。

The current emergency plan is text plan mainly. It can not efficiently guide and deal with accident. Put forwards combined method of case based reasoning （CBR） and rule based reasoning （RBR）. Use RBR method to calculate required emergency plan. Use CBR method and nearest neighborhood matching method to find the case which matching the given comparability in case base. Then, combine two methods. The results show that the method can overcome the disadvantages of no emergency plan can be generated if there is no one case matching the target problem in the case base with the single CBR method or time delay of emergency plan generating with the single RBR method. What＇s more, the system has the advantages of logical deduction of RBR and advantage of easy establishing and maintaining the emergency plan of CBR, which making the system more efficient and reliable.