中国纺织服装行业能源消费碳排放因素分析

Analysis of Carbon Emission for Energy Consumption in China's Textiles and Clothing Sectors

纺织服装行业是中国的重要民生产业。中国纺织服装行业在快速发展的过程中,消耗了大量的能源,并产生了较多的碳排放,分析探讨该行业能源消费碳排放的影响因素对实现行业的节能减碳和低碳发展具有重要意义。文章基于对数平均Divisia因素分解法(LMDI)建立了中国纺织服装行业能源消费碳排放因素分解模型,并对影响行业碳排放量的产业规模、产业结构、能源结构、能源强度等因素进行了实证分析。结果表明,在1991-2009年间,产业规模的扩大是纺织服装全行业、纺织业及纺织服装、鞋、帽制造业碳排放量增加的最主要拉动因素,能源强度因素的提高对于减少碳排放量具有重要意义。产业结构优化对于减少行业碳排放量的效果有限,能源结构调整尚未达到减少行业碳排放量的效果。

Textiles and clothing sectors are important industry in China.A large quantity of energy has been consumed with the result of high carbon emissions during the fast development of China＇s textiles and clothing sectors.It is meaningful for the achieving of energy saving,carbon decrease and issuing of low carbon development pattern in China＇s textiles and clothing sectors through the analysis of effect factors of carbon emissions caused by energy consumption.The decomposition model of carbon emissions of China＇s textile and apparel industry was built with LMDI method,and the influencing factors including industry scale,industry structure,energy structure and energy intensity were analyzed with the model.Results showed that enlarge of industry scale was the main pull factor for the increase of carbon emissions of China＇s textile and apparel industry during 1991-2009,and improvement of energy intensity was meaningful for the decreasing of carbon emissions.Optimizing of industry structure has limited impact on carbon emissions decreasing at present and the adjusting of energy structure has not achieved the decreasing impact.