土耳其与以色列关系发展探析

On Turkish-Israeli Relations

土以关系60多年的发展史大致可以划分为4个阶段。阿拉伯和美国因素对双边关系影响明显、双边关系具有非对称性和非常态性、正发党重塑了土以关系、双方认同基础正在发生深刻变化是土以关系的主要特征并影响着土以关系的未来。鉴于叙利亚局势的持续恶化已经外溢至土耳其和以色列,以色列在巴勒斯坦问题上已经做出新的姿态,土以关系从短期来看恢复和改善的基本条件正在齐备。从长远来看,由于中东地区错综复杂的矛盾和土以国内民意对双边关系影响的权重日渐增加,双边关系的非对称性并未发生根本改观,土以关系未来发展难以一帆风顺。

The history of Turkish - Israeli relations can be roughly divided into four periods, and there＇ re four main characteristics as follows ： Arab countries＇ and America＇ s significant influences on the relationship, the asymmetry of the relationship, the reshaping by the Justice and Development Party of the relationship and the profoundly changing bases of identity of both sides. Due to the escalation of Syria situation and its spillover effect to Turkey and Israel, and Israel＇ s new stance on Palestine issue, the relationship has acquired new dynamic for renewing and improving in the short run. However, in the long run, the relationship will undergo turbulence since the complex regional situation, the increasing influences of public opinions and the largely unchanged characteristics of asymmetry in bilateral relations.