计量经济学模型在卫生资源配置效率中的应用:以天津市为例

The application of econometrics model in health resource allocation efficiency:taking Tianjin as an example

运用计量经济学模型CES和VES,利用天津市2000-2010年时间序列数据构建卫生资源配置的模型进行分析。判定系数R2分别为0.853 7、0.673 5,天津市卫生总费用相对于国内生产总值(GDP)发展的弹性系数1.28。比较两种方法下效率系数A的差异,并用G-Q检验和怀特异方差稳健标准误法对参数估计结果进行检验。总结了10年来天津市卫生资源配置的发展特征,说明卫生经费的逐年增长是天津市卫生资源良性发展的关键和保障。

This paper used the econometrics model CES and VES to analyze health resources allocation model in Tianjin during year 2000 to 2010. R2 determination coefficient were 0.853 7 and 0.673 5. The elastic coefficient of total health expenses relative to the development of GDP was 1.28. The efficiency coefficient of A difference with two different methods was compared. Results of G-Q inspection and white heteroscedastic robust standard error parameters estimation method were tested. Development characteristics of health resource allocation in Tianjin during 10 years were summed up. The result showed the increasing of health funds each year was both the key to the benign development of health resources in Tianjin and the guarantee of it as well.