广东“80后”生育意愿及其影响因素研究

A Research of the Fertility Intention of “Generation Born in 1980s” in Guangdong and Its Influencing Factors

改革开放后出生的一代人的生育意愿和意愿生育数量将表现出与父辈们不同的特征。本文采用广东省人口和计划生育委员会支持的调研数据,并通过实证研究发现:个人受教育程度、家庭收入、户籍状况、家庭结构及财产状况等因素共同影响着初育年龄意愿、理想生育数和生育性别意愿。总体来看,教育程度与经济因素是影响"80后"生育意愿的主要因素。同时,家庭养老压力也在一定程度上影响到他们的生育意愿。

There are dramatic differences in the fertility intention and desired number of children between the generation born in 1980s and their parental generation. This paper adopts the data from the surveys by Guangdong Provincial Population and Family Planning Commission to analyze the fertility intention of the generation born in 1980s. The results show that education, income of the family, Residential Areas, family structure and family wealth influences the intent age of first childbearing, desired number of children, and desired gender of children. On the whole, education and economic factors are the main variables affecting the fertility intention of the generation of 1980s, and the pressures of family supports to the old is somewhat a factor influencing their fertility intention.